25 October 2026
Iran: Strike Threat or Coercion for a Deal?
Trump keeps military action in view as Tehran signals conditional openness to talks through Pakistan; neither a strike nor a deal is confirmed.
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English-language reporting and analysis, organized by publication day. Each entry separates reported facts from interpretation and identifies the evidence that could change the assessment.
Scenario Momentum
Daily cumulative evidence scores across six competing scenarios.
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Prediction Markets
Iran-related contracts, quoted from Polymarket.
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English Daily Archive
Showing the latest published reports.
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Saturday, 24 October 2026
24 October 2026
Iran's Weekend Strike Warning: Three Competing Interpretations
A sourced review of Tom Barrack's warning, Trump's response, and Istanbul diplomacy.
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